Bali, Indonesia Surf Forecast 2 - 15 July, 2019
Forecast Issued Tuesday, July 2, 2019
There will be no shortage of winter groundswells en route to Indonesia over the coming weeks. Charts near and far are lining up storm after storm across the southern Indian Ocean. With back-to-back SW to SSW groundswells, pumping surf will offer up a busy swell season mid July.
A good SW swell lived up to the forecast last weekend and brought a run of waves through the end of June. As that swell fades, we see another reinforcement SSW groundswell maintain surf midweek as it builds in long period sets Wednesday.
Meanwhile, a deep low across the southern Indian Ocean is supporting a new SSW groundswell development and increased wave heights, which is due to hit the region Sunday. That SSW swell is then backed by another powerful southern hemisphere storm system trailing only days behind for more long period SW waves arriving around next Wednesday the 10th and beyond.
It is clear that the long range charts are not lacking any development of new swell activity with storms pumping out from under Madagascar throughout the middle of the month, so stay tuned…plenty of waves on the way!
Reinforcing SSW groundswell fills in, starting slow with inconsistent sets 4 to 6ft, then picking up deepwater swell to 6 to 8ft+ along exposed breaks later in the day. Wrapping at lower levels inside sheltered breaks with size depending on exposure. WIND: ESE 10 to 15 knots.
SSW groundswell holds good but slowly eases, tending largest early at 6ft+ across the exposed breaks, then dropping a foot or two to 4 to 6ft in the afternoon. Wrapping at lower levels elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early ESE 10 to 15, tending ESE 15 to 20 knots in afternoon.
Easing SSW groundswell gradually fading. Sets tending slower around 3 to 5ft along exposed breaks, wrapping at lower levels elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: ESE 10 to 15 knots, tending 15 to 20 knots in afternoon.
Easing SSW groundswell with possible late arrival of new SSW sets. Settling at occasional 3 to 4ft across exposed breaks, wrapping in at lower levels elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early variable before tending ESE around 15 to 20 knots.
Long period SSW groundswell builds in. Increasing sets tending 4 to 6ft, up to inconsistent 6 to 8ft across the most exposed breaks. Wrapping at lower levels elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: ESE 10 to 15 early, tending SE 15 to 20 knots in afternoon.
Subsiding SSW groundswell gradually backs off throughout the day. Speculatively sets holding 4 to 6ft exposed breaks early, dropping to 3 to 4ft the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: Early variable before tending ESE 15 to 20 knots.
While incoming swells keeps surf busy locally through the week ahead, large developments will start to take place afar and keep waves on track through mid July.
We will start by tracking the formation of a new complex low pressure positioned south of Madagascar on Thursday. This low is forecasted to regenerate a movement of 40ft+ seas as it steers towards WA along the midlatitudes. While holding a great distance, this storm should disperse a long period wave energy of 18 to 20 second+ swell towards Indo with possible forerunners to arrive as early as Tuesday the 9th. More swell fills in to a peak from Wednesday and Thursday the 10th and 11th.
Beyond that storm, a double dose of storms is to follow, firstly offering a smaller reinforcement of SW groundswell through to the weekend of the 13th. Then secondly, and with uncertainty, a larger, deeper and wider complex low pressure system forms next Monday under South Africa before funnelling a wide expanded fetch into the southwest Indian Ocean. This holds prospect to produce a long range, long-period SW groundswell during the week of July 15th. Stay tuned as this develops.
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