Weekend Surf Forecast 31 May - 2 June 2019
Issued Thursday, 30 May 2019
The first days of winter kick off in fine style around much of the country this weekend. The NSW coast sees a major south-swell event lending the focus to sheltered corners and north-facing spots handling the swell – not to mention bringing some long-overdue rearrangement to firmly packed sand-banks up and down the coast. This event will propagate north and impact northern NSW coasts at size, while wrapping in north of the border at much more user friendly levels all weekend.
Further south, the southern states aren’t looking so appealing; being at the tail end of an onshore hangover lingering in the wake of a monster SW storm-swell that peaked across South Australia and Victoria on Wednesday. Still, there will be waves to be had across both states as both winds and swell continue to ease over the next few days. That leaves the West Coast as another excellent place to be. The arrival of a strong pulse of WSW groundswell on Saturday coincides with all-day offshore breezes, giving you the option of watching epic conditions at the Margaret River Pro, between sneaking off somewhere else for a few bombs yourself.
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
Thursday saw the early stages of a major south swell-event getting underway across the region; leading in a whole lot more in the way of both size and period throughput Friday and Saturday. As discussed in this recent Forecaster Blog, the dual-stage source driving this episode delivers a kind of double whammy of mid and long-period energy; rising steeply throughout Friday and holding serious size throughout Saturday. Along with the swell will come strong SW to Southerly winds, so seeking out a southern corner offering the right amount of shelter will be the key to scoring some half-decent waves through the peak of the swell. In the absence of that, you might want to keep some powder dry for Sunday arvo, as a still punchy SSE swell coincides with light north to variable winds.
Southerly swell builds from about 3 to 4ft across south facing beaches early, towards 5 to 6ft+ in the afternoon, probably bigger in the evening. Wrapping in at lower levels elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: WSW 15 to 25 knots, tending SW to SSW in the afternoon.
Stronger South groundswell peaks early. Around 5 to 8ft across south facing beaches, mostly wrapping at 3 to 6ft along open beaches with size depending on exposure. Gradually easing in the afternoon. WIND: Early WSW to SW tending SSW 15 to 25 knots in the morning, then South and easing in the afternoon.
Easing SSE groundswell. Sets around 4 to 6ft south facing beaches, grading to 3 to 5ft elsewhere with size depending on exposure, easing a foot or so in the afternoon. WIND: Early WSW to SW around 5 to 15 knots, tending lighter South to SE during the day, then NNE to NNW in the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
A strong building trend in South swell promises no shortage of grunt as it fills in across the region on Friday and the weekend. Friday morning is definitely worthy of an early; just to capitalise on straighter offshore WSW winds and a still manageable levels of S groundswell. The challenge from Saturday onwards will be finding somewhere offering just the right amount of shelter from the prevailing SW to southerly winds and larger groundswell – and again it will be well worth getting amongst it early to make the most of a stronger SW bias in wind direction on both Saturday and Sunday.
Mid period Southerly groundswell holds at a solid 3 to 4ft+ across northern NSW south facing coasts, more like 2 to 4ft along open beaches. Wrapping at a slow 2 to 3ft exposed QLD beaches and grading tiny along the points and inside the bays with size depending on exposure. WIND: WSW to SW 10 to 15 knots, tending lighter SSW to South in the arvo.
Potential for a stronger increase in Southerly groundswell. Northern NSW: Consistent 6 to 8ft across south facing coasts, grading to 3 to 6ft along open beaches with size depending on exposure. Southern QLD: Wrapping at a slow 3 to 4ft+ exposed QLD beaches and grading to 1 to 3ft along the points and inside the bays with size depending on exposure.. WIND: Early WSW to SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending Southerly, SSE 15 to 20 knots.
SSE groundswell slowly eases. Sets around 5 to 6ft+ across northern NSW south facing coasts, wrapping at 3 to 4ft+ exposed QLD beaches and grading to 1 to 3ft along the points and inside the bays with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early SW to SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending lighter SSE to SE in the afternoon and to light and variable in the evening.
Strong onshore winds will continue to keep a firm lid on your surfing prospects on Friday, before conditions finally begin to clean up on Saturday. Having said that, any improvement will only be gradual, with lighter onshore winds still in place all day. By Sunday winds are back in the west; opening up much improved, albeit relatively small waves along the Great Ocean Road, grading to a punchier but wind-affected 3 to 4ft on the exposed beaches.
Large, windblown SSW swell eases into the afternoon. Chaotic 4 to 6ft+ along exposed beaches, settling in the arvo. Wrapping at 3 to 5ft along the Surf Coast reefs and grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: SW to SSW 15 to 25 knots, easing to 10 to 15 knots later.
Easing SSW groundswell settles during the day. Up to a choppy 3 to 4ft+ along the exposed beaches. Wrapping at a clean 2 to 4ft on the Surf Coast reefs and grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending lighter SW up to 10 knots later.
Potential for reinforcing SW groundswell. Around 3 to 4ft along exposed beaches, picking up in the afternoon. Wrapping at a clean 2 to 3ft+ along the Surf Coast reefs, otherwise grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: WNW to NW 10 to 15 knots, turning West and increasing 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
All signs point to Saturday as THE day to be on the hunt for a swag-full of clean, powerful waves. The new swell carries a strong westerly and may be a little undersized to begin with, before kicking in at size mid morning. Light offshore breezes are set to remain in place all day, so it will be worth milking it for all its worth. By Sunday morning winds will be in the northeast; offering up another good window that will quickly turn sour as winds swing north and freshen during the morning.
WSW groundswell gradually builds. Southwest: Ranging from 2 to 3ft exposed breaks, increasing to 3 to 4ft+ in the afternoon. Perth: Around 0.5ft. WIND: NNW 10 to 15 knots, shifting SSE during the day.
Potential for large WSW groundswell. South West: Sets ranging from 5 to 8ft across exposed breaks, settling towards 5 to 6ft+ in the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. Perth/Mandurah: Clean in the 1 to 3ft range, fading later. WIND: ESE 10 to 20 knots, easing and tending East then lighter ENE in the afternoon.
Easing WSW swell under early cross-offshore winds. Southwest: Up to a clean 4 to 6ft along exposed breaks, easing towards 3 to 5ft in the afternoon. Perth: 1 to 2ft. WIND: NE 10 to 15 knots, tending NNE, then Northerly and freshening in the afternoon.
There’s finally some light on the horizon following this week’s stormy onshore pounding. Friday sees improving conditions across all coasts as moderating onshore breezes start to open up improving wave-quality as the day progresses. That should lead in a far more appealing day of surf on Saturday as light offshore breezes finally turn the good surf switch back to the on position. However, it will be well worth making the most of what’s there on Saturday, with another vigorous front seeing strong onshore winds returning with a vengeance on Sunday.
Easing SSW groundswell under onshore winds. South Coast: Windblown 4 to 5ft+ at Waits and Parsons, ranging from a junky 3 to 4ft around Middleton. Mid Coast: Up to 1 to 2ft+. WIND: SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending Southerly and easing later.
Leftover SSW groundswell under nor’west winds. South Coast: Clean sets 2 to 4ft at Waits and Parsons, wrapping at 2 to 3ft around Middleton, easing later. Mid Coast: Around 0.5ft. WIND: Early light NE tending light and variable in the afternoon.
Scope for small SW groundswell. South Coast: Sets around 2 to 3ft at Waits and Parsons, wrapping at 1 to 2ft at Middleton. Mid Coast: Flat to 0.5ft. WIND: Early WNW 10 to 15 knots tending SW 15 to 25 knots, freshening to 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
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